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The Stanford Global Systemic Risk Scenarios Study

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Humanity faces a myriad of existential technology, geopolitical, and ecological risks. When these risks are studied separately, one misses the destructive systemic trajectories due to previously unforeseen or cascading risks. Please take part in the Stanford Global Systemic Risk Scenario online survey. 

The purpose of the study is to understand more about the risks of human extinction. In the survey, we will ask questions on your background, risk perception, future risk scenarios, cascading risks, and innovation and risk. 

Eligibility criteria: We are particularly looking for futurists, scientists, activists, technologists, economists, academics, students, executives, and other experts or practitioners in a domain or social movement of relevance to future risks and innovations. We are also interested in getting in touch with any stakeholders who are likely affected by such risks or innovations now or in the future. The target age of respondents is 20+. We are not conducting research on children.

The 75-question survey will take around 45 minutes to complete. If you are interested in being considered for this study, please contact the survey investigator at If you are eligible, we will send you the survey link. 

All participants who opt to leave their email address at the end of the survey will receive: early access to scenarios, guest evaluation for the Futurized podcast, and an invite to an annual virtual event by Stanford Existential Risk Initiative (see Third Annual Stanford Existential Risks Conference, April 20-22, 2023). Please indicate whether you would be willing to participate in a follow-up focus group session which will include a group discussion as well as playing a customized board game (if in person, which would take place at Stanford University or in metrowest Boston) or a simulated board game (if virtually), for which we ask that you set aside 3 hours. Please also indicate if you are willing to engage in a multi-year follow-up. If so, you need to leave your email address at the end of the survey. 

The project’s principal investigator is Stephen Luby, MD, Professor of Medicine, Senior Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford (tel +650-723-4129). The investigator, Dr. Trond Arne Undheim is the day-to-day contact.  

For complaints, concerns, or participant’s right questions, feel free to contact Stanford’s Research Compliance Office at 1-866-680-2906 or at